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    Showing posts with label Bobby Abreu. Show all posts
    Showing posts with label Bobby Abreu. Show all posts

    Wednesday, January 21, 2026

    Carlos Beltran and Andruw Jones Headline a Historic 2026 Hall of Fame Class, Plus What It Means Going Forward

    For the third year in a row (and tenth time in the last twelve elections), the Baseball Writers Association of America has inducted multiple players into the Hall of Fame. For 2026, centerfielders Carlos Beltrán and Andruw Jones will be joining Veterans Committee pick Jeff Kent on the stage in Cooperstown this July. And behind them, we saw a lot of interesting developments with downballot candidates that will end up shaping the next few Hall of Fame ballots.

    Full voting results per the BBWAA:

    [image or embed]

    — Ryan Thibodaux (@notmrtibbs.com) January 20, 2026 at 3:23 PM


    But first, let’s start with the inductees. First, it’s actually a little bit of a shock to see the writers inducting a centerfielder, let alone a pair of them simultaneously like Beltrán and Jones. The BBWAA had only inducted eight* of them period prior to today, with no overlaps in their election years. As Jayson Stark noted on social media, the writers had only added two center fielders total to the Hall’s ranks over the last 45 years combined (between Ken Griffey Jr. in 2018 and Kirby Puckett in 2001; you have to go back to Duke Snider in 1980 to find a third). The Veterans process had done some things over the years to help correct this, but on the whole, the position was probably underrepresented in Cooperstown on the whole. 



      *There is some flexibility here, given positions can change. For example, Andre Dawson (inducted in 2010) played his early days in center, and that’s where he accumulated the majority of his value. But he did play more games in right field by the end of his career, and that’s notably where he was during his 1987 MVP season. I’m going by what MLB and the Hall itself have been using here (picture taken from the MLB Network broadcast).



      And even setting all of that aside, this is certainly a solid pair of players to be inducting! We’ll start with Beltrán, who cleared the 75% line for induction with ease, landing at 84.2% on his fourth ballot. The advanced stats side of the community has historically been a big supporter of his candidacy, with career WAR totals (70.0 according to Baseball-Reference, 67.4 by Fangraphs’ version) that traditionally indicate a very likely Hall of Famer.

      Which makes it funny to note that by most traditional metrics, Beltrán still had a very strong case! Over 20 seasons with the Royals, Astros, Mets, Giants, Cardinals, Yankees, and Rangers, Carlos amassed 2725 hits, 435 home runs, 565 doubles, and 312 steals, all of which are impressive totals even before you get into the deeper stuff that makes his career even more legendary.

      He’s one of just five players with 400 homers and 300 steals, and the only one who was a switch hitter. Those steals came at an 86.4% success rate, the lowest caught stealing rate for any player with 300 swipes. He had a great batting eye, giving him a .350 OBP and a 119 adjusted OPS+, meaning he was basically a center fielder who could hit like a first baseman. 

      Saturday, January 10, 2026

      The Big 2026 Hall of Fame Ballot Preview!

      It’s been a month since we got our last big piece of news on the 2026 Hall of Fame election, that the first member of this year’s class of inductees would be Veterans Committee choice Jeff Kent. In the time since, we’ve gone fullbore on the main question of Hall of Fame Season: who the Baseball Writers will induct off the main ballot. However, the actual ballots are technically all submitted (the deadline for that was the start of the new year), and there’s not really going to be any real major updates to cover there until the actual announcement on January 20th. 


        But that doesn’t mean that there aren't other things to write about. As usual, the Ballot Tracker team is hard at work documenting and tallying up the results in real time as individual voters reveal their ballots. They were already at over 100 votes counted before the clock struck 2026, and have only continued to grow from there, currently sitting at 152 tracked ballots. That’s an impressive number, and if you’re a long-time follower of this type of news, you might know that there are already some things that we can intuit about where the final results might wind up, especially with so many votes being public knowledge.

        (As a note, all stats in this piece are either from the Ballot Tracker, or Baseball-Reference. Ballot Tracker numbers are as of Friday evening.)

        Except… there’s a lot more uncertainty on that front this year. Notably, we actually don’t know what percentage of the vote we already know. Last year’s election closed with 394 votes on record, which would put us at over 30% of the vote for this year. But the 2026 election is also a special case where we can’t just take last year’s total and slap a “give or take 10 votes” on it.

        For those who aren’t familiar with the Hall of Fame’s voting rules, voters must have written for 10 years at an accredited outlet for the BBWAA to give them a say. Usually, we can count on a fairly stable churn, with some voters retiring or aging out each year, but getting offset by a steady trickle of new ten-year veterans. That’s not the case this year, though; the BBWAA was extremely slow to recognize online outlets, which you might have realized over the last few years as longtime veterans of major sites like Fangraphs and Baseball Prospectus only just began to get their ballots.

        This year represents another major wave of ten-year “newcomers” from online sites, the biggest among them being MLB.com. Yeah, for some reason, it took the BBWAA until the middle of the 2010s to officially recognize sportswriters from the league’s site. I don’t get why it took so long either, nor do I understand why they didn’t retroactively award credit to those writers for their years working there prior to that decision.* But I guess what’s important is that it’s finally not a problem.

        Wednesday, January 22, 2025

        Hall of Fame 2025: Ichiro, Sabathia, and Wagner Inducted, Plus a Full Ballot Breakdown

        For the second year in a row, the Baseball Writers sent a three-person group to Cooperstown. Ichiro Suzuki and CC Sabathia made it in their first election, while longtime Astro closer Billy Wagner made it on his tenth and final try. Those three, along with Veterans Committee picks Dave Parker and Dick Allen, will serve as Baseball’s Hall of Fame Class of 2025.



        It’s a pretty well-rounded bunch, spearheaded by the first Japanese player in Cooperstown history. Ichiro, in his first ever ballot, fell just one vote shy of unanimity (393/394), tying him with Derek Jeter for the second-best performance in BBWAA ballot history. The right fielder finished with 3089 hits over nineteen seasons with the Mariners, Yankees, and Marlins, thanks in part to nine straight 200-hit campaigns to start his MLB career.

        That total is made all the more impressive by the fact that his debut season in the US came at the age of 27, making him one of the latest-debuting Hall of Famers in history; if you count his nine seasons in Japan before that, he has a staggering 4367 professional hits in his career, which started at the age of 18 and lasted until he was 45 (stats from Baseball-Reference unless otherwise stated, by the way).

        It's hard to argue against Suzuki’s case, which includes both the 2001 AL MVP and Rookie of the Year Award, plus a pair of batting titles, three Silver Sluggers, and a full ten All-Star Selections and Gold Gloves. The Mariners have already announced that they’ll be retiring his number #51 (no word yet on whether his predecessor for the number, Randy Johnson, can expect a similar honor later).

        There was an outside chance that he would hit 100%, as he was still perfect through all 216 Early ballots in Ryan Thibodaux’s Ballot Tracker, but alas, that was not the case. We’ll see in the coming days if the one No vote steps forward (and the tracker will continue to update as more voters reveal their ballots), but it’s worth keeping in mind that we still don’t know who the one vote against Derek Jeter was back in 2020, so we may just never learn.